Will you pass — or are the calculators lying to you?
Free, no signup, runs entirely in your browser — your numbers never leave your device. Enter your stats, pick a rule set, and flip the regime clustering switch to see what serial correlation does to the number the other calculators gave you.
Educational estimate from the stats you enter — the full product replays your actual trade sequence and exact firm rules instead. Presets are common published values; always verify current rules with the firm. Simulations are not predictions or advice.
Each run simulates trade-by-trade with your risk per trade, grouped into days so daily-loss limits behave like the real rule. Static drawdown measures from the starting balance; trailing follows the equity high-water mark. The regime clustering toggle makes wins and losses arrive in streaks via a two-state process with the same long-run win rate — because real strategies streak, and shuffling trades into independent coin flips is precisely how most calculators overstate pass rates. Estimates for education, not advice; verify any firm's current rules before paying for an evaluation.